Wednesday, September 30, 2009

TYPHOON PEPENG (PARMA)

Typhoon Pepeng (Int'l name Parma) finally entered the Philippine Area of Responsibility at around 5pm PST. It is approximately 800km west of Borongan, Eastern Samar. Latest data taken at around 11pm PST show Pepeng now has winds of up to 140kph with gusts of over 165kph near the center. Wave heights generated by the storm exceeds 5 m, and pose a dangerous environment for ships of all sizes. No direct effect is expected in the next 24 hours although outer rain bands will occasionally bring moderate to heavy rain in certain areas. Public Storm Signal Warnings is expected to be posted in the next 24 hours or so. Signal #2 may be posted in Eastern Luzon meaning winds of up to 100kph may affect the area.

Interestingly, some weather bureaus, forecast models, and even PAGASA have slightly shifted their respective foreacasts of the path to the WEST. It means that there is a slight to moderate possibility that the storm will make landfall in NE Luzon.

Inaasahang mararamdaman ng hilagang Luzon ang bagsik ni Pepeng sa darating na Biyernes o Sabado. Pinapayuhan na ang mga lugar na nasa silangang bahagi ng Luzon, partikular na ang Quezon, Cagayan, Aurora, at Batanes na bantayang mabuti ang bagyong Pepeng.

Forecast Maps, including expected wave heights/storm surges, rainfall, and wind distribution will be posted in our next bulletin at around 2pm PST.
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100109 435am PST (093009 834pm UTC)

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