Tropical Update

Invest 92W west of Palau is showing signs of improvement. JTWC has put out a Tropical Cyclone Formation Alert for "HIGH" chance of becoming a cyclone within the next 24 hours. JMA, meanwhile, is already classifying this LPA as a depression.

VIS Image below shows the somewhat exposed circulation with the bulk of convective activity slightly displaced to the west. Wind shear is weak and sea surface temperatures are warm so we do expect this to continue slowly intensifying over the next couple of days.

VIS From NRLMRY

We'll have more info on this developing low pressure later this afternoon.
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Issued (23 UTC) 7am PhT 101011