Thursday, July 17, 2014

Typhoon Rammasun Update #14

Issued (1130 UTC) 730pm PhT 071714
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Typhoon Rammasun (Formerly Bagyong Glenda) continues to intensify as it moves across the South China Sea. The center was last located approximately 500km southeast of Haikou, Hainan or about 540km south of Hong Kong. Maximum sustained winds are now at 165kph with gusts of up to 205kph. Typhoon Rammasun is moving northwestward at 20kph.

IR Image from NRLMRY


Latest satellite image shows the eye of Rammasun becoming more defined this evening. The convective activity remains strong and well-organized as well. Furthermore, the eyewall has become well-established this afternoon and we expect more intensification to happen tonight.

Some light to moderate rains are now forming across Hainan and along the coastal areas in Guangdong Province. We expect rains to overspread Southern China tonight and into tomorrow. Coastal areas should also be wary of high waves and storm surge especially in Hainan Island.

Typhoon Rammasun is forecast to make landfall in Hainan by tomorrow afternoon (Friday) as a powerful Category 3 Typhoon. It will then move near Haikou City bringing dangerous and damaging winds and torrential rainfall. Rammasun will then turn westward and make landfall in Northern Vietnam by Saturday moving near Hanoi and bringing the same dangerous threats in that region.

Meanwhile the Tropical Depression (93W) near Palau continues to slowly organize and is forecast to become a Tropical Storm within the next 48 hours. This system will also enter the Philippine Area of Responsibility by tomorrow and will be named "Bagyong Henry" by PAGASA.

We'll have another update tomorrow morning.

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