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Here is our latest Video Update:
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Typhoon Utor (Bagyong Labuyo) is beginning to regain intensity as it moves into the South China Sea/West Philippine Sea. The center of the storm was last located approximately 260km northwest of Dagupan City or about 410km northwest of Manila. Maximum sustained winds are down to about 155kph with gusts of up to 195kph making Utor a low-end Category 2 Typhoon. It is currently moving west northwestward at 30kph.
As of 5pm this morning, here are the latest Signal Warnings from PAGASA:
Signal #2: Nueva Vizcaya, Ifugao, Mt. Province, Ilocos Sur, Benguet, La Union , and Pangasinan.
Signal #1: Abra, Kalinga, Apayao, Isabela, Aurora, Quirino, Nueva Ecija, Tarlac, Ilocos Norte, Pampanga, Bataan, and Zambales.
Areas under Signal #2 should continue to have winds of up to 100kph over the next 3 to 6 hours but should begin to die down as the night goes on. Meanwhile, winds of up to 60kph could linger over areas under Signal #1 but is also expected to weaken by tonight.
IR Image from FNMOC
Latest satellite image shows the core of Utor beginning to regain some organization after making landfall in Northern Luzon. The storm did suffer after crossing the mountainous terrain of Luzon but it looks like the inner core of Utor is showing signs of improvement especially on the southern side and is beginning to wrap into the northern half of the circulation. We are also seeing strong convection as the system tracks over the warm waters of the South China Sea.
Radar Image from Subic
Light to moderate rains continue across the western portions of Luzon particularly across the provinces of Zambales, Bataan, and Pampanga. Up to 50mm could still fall over the next few hours but weather across the region should begin to improve by early tomorrow morning. For the latest radar images and rainfall forecasts for your area, please click HERE (ClimateX PH).
Forecast Track (NOT OFFICIAL!)
Typhoon Utor will continue moving away from Luzon and could exit the Philippine Area of Responsibility by tomorrow morning. It could intensify tomorrow as well as water temperatures in the South China Sea are warm and wind shear is forecast to remain light. Outer bands from Utor could also bring some light rain showers and breezy winds across Hong Kong and Macau by tomorrow and Wednesday. There is a small chance of Utor becoming a Category 3 typhoon by Wednesday but that all depends on how quickly it recovers.
Computer models and forecast agencies are now in good agreement on a landfall towards the province of Guangdong in Southern China. Landfall timing looks like Wednesday afternoon near the Leizhou Peninsula as a weakening Typhoon. Strong winds and heavy rains could impact the region as well as Hainan Island and maybe even into Macau. Utor should then rapidly weaken as it tracks into China.
We'll have another update tomorrow morning. Stay safe!
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