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Tropical Storm Yagi continues to move north and will be exiting the Philippine Area of Responsibility later tonight. The storm was last located approximately 720km east southeast of Okinawa. Maximum sustained winds remain at 75kph with gusts of up to 95kph. TS Yagi is moving north northeastward at 20kph.
We continue to see lack of really strong convective activity. However, banding and the overall structure of the system remains well-defined on the satellite images. On the other hand, outflow channels have been muted in the past 12 hours and as the system moves into less favorable area, the chances of intensification are decreasing.
Forecast Track (NOT OFFICIAL!)
There is a change in the forecast for tonight. We no longer expect Yagi to make landfall in Japan. However, it will still move pretty close to the country that it could still directly affect it particularly the southern coasts of Kansai and Chubu Regions. As we've said in the previous paragraph, we no longer expect Yagi to intensify either. Instead, it will start to gradually weaken by later tomorrow (Tuesday) and could become a depression as early as Wednesday afternoon as it moves near the Japanese coast.
We'll have another update tomorrow.
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