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Text Update
Wukong (Bagyong Quinta) remains a Tropical Storm according to the Japan Meteorological Agency (JMA) whereas both Joint Typhoon Warning Center and PAGASA have given their final warnings for this system. Wukong was last located approximately 340km west of Puerto Princesa, Palawan and is moving westward at 25kph. While JMA says the system is still a tropical storm, latest satellite images and wind data suggest that Wukong has weakened to a Tropical Depression. So our analysis here on this blog puts the winds to around 55kph with gusts of up to 75kph. Please do note that the video above uses JMA data in deference to the authority of that RSMC; no way is our analysis on this blog official.
IR Image from NRLMRY
Latest satellite image shows weak convective activity remains near the storm center. Strong wind shear has lead to the sudden weakening over the past 24 hours and has left the low-level center partially exposed.
Forecast Track (NOT OFFICIAL!)
Due to the unfavorable conditions in the region, we no longer expect Wukong to intensify although it may remain at least a depression by tomorrow. It will continue to head west southwestward and should exit the Philippine Area of Responsibility by tonight. By late Friday or early Saturday, Wukong should completely dissipate south of Vietnam.
As far as rainfall goes, much of the Philippines should experience much better weather by tomorrow. However, rain showers may still impact the eastern portions of the country particularly in Northern Luzon and the Bicol Region. Some areas here may still see up to 50mm of rain. Always check with PAGASA and also at ClimateX PH for the latest rainfall forecast and doppler radar images.
We'll have another update tomorrow.
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Issued (10 UTC) 6pm PhT 122712
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